Just look at it, as it plays out in real life: how many "illegals" were there before Obama was elected? More than eleven million.
And how many were there when he left office, after the Great Recession and three million deportations? More than eleven million.
And how many are there now after two years of "Build the Wall" chanting and Trump's rule? More than eleven million.
And if you think that's going to change, do the math. If you leave aside those caught near the border shortly after crossing, how many people were deported each year under Obama, from the settled undocumented population inside the country?
Give or take, a quarter million a year. And how many are being deported now? Give or take, a quarter million.
So how long would it take to "solve" the problem by deporting all the undocumented? Forty-four years, give or take. And, mind you, that's assuming the government's figure of just over 11 million is right.
Because professors from MIT and Yale, utilizing "standard demographic principles" just published a study saying by the most conservative yardstick, the real number is almost 17 million, but with standard methodology, the number is 22 million, double the official estimate. If that's so, you'd need to be pretty unlucky to get deported before you died.
So has anything changed with Trump? Yes, most of all the rhetoric. Though we should remember Trump is not that unusual as a politician trying to whip up anti-immigrant sentiment. But his deportation policies have been more cruel and arbitrary than Obama's in order to spread fear throughout the entire immigrant community. As were Clinton's in relation to his predecessors.
But as for the rest of it, the real policy has been essentially the same for many decades: not to throw out the "illegals," but make sure that if they stay here, they stay "illegal," meaning super-exploitable and thus super-profitable for the bosses.
--José G. Pérez
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